AFC Playoff betting predictions are all over the map at the moment with Peyton Manning/Tom Brady XVII to take place this weekend. It will be the fifth time that the two future hall of famers will meet in the playoffs and this game will only add to their legacies as elite level quarterbacks. Let’s take a look at the game and find out where the value bet may be.
The New England Patriots (-3) at the Denver Broncos – AFC Playoff Betting
The Broncos are at home, have beaten the Patriots already this season, and are coming off a come from behind win against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yet, they’re home underdogs vs. the Brady Bunch this weekend which is always a tricky situation in AFC playoff betting.
Denver’s best hope at covering – and winning – this game is to get pressure on Tom Brady. The Broncos D has been the lifeblood of this team all season, yielding a paltry 18.5 points against per game. LB Von Miller leads the way with 11 sacks, and their secondary paced by CB Aqib Talib’s 3 interceptions, is one of the most talented units in the league. The problem for Denver, and it’s the same problem every team faces against New England, is slowing down all world metahuman, Rob Gronkowski. When the Broncos beat the Pats on Sunday Night Football in November, a key turning point in the game was Gronk getting carted off the field. The Pats were unable to get anything going offensively after that point and the Broncos were able to cap the game off with an OT touchdown. However Gronk is back, and as demonstrated by his 2 TD performance last week, he’s back to Gronk levels of beastness.
AFC Playoff Previews – Patriots Healthy
The Pats are favored and come in as healthy as they’ve been all year. Brady and the Pats have generally gotten the better of Peyton Manning teams in their storied rivalry, but this is statistically the best defense Manning’s ever had. The Broncos stuff the run better than any unit in the league and that could be problematic for the Pats. NE ranks 30th in the league in rushing yards,and with the Broncos fearsome pass rush becoming one dimensional against this defense could cause enough stress for Brady and the O-line to play right into Denver’s hands.
It’s rare to see a home underdog in the Conference Championship, which makes Sunday morning’s AFC playoff betting a unique and rare situation for bettors.
Online Football Betting – NFL AFC Playoffs
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