It is always important to be looking at Divisional Round betting lines as early as possible to catch bookmakers off guard. In my second article on this weekend’s NFL playoffs, I will be taking a look at two games to identify profit opportunities in the odds and lines. When it comes to Divisional Round betting there are always some adjustments to make when doing your handicapping.
Divisional Round Betting – Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
This AFC playoff game is by far the biggest mismatch of the 2016 NFL Playoffs which is made clear by the +16.5 pointspread for the Houston Texans. This is probably one of the biggest pointspreads I can ever remember in the NFL whether in the regular season or not. The Moneyline stands at a staggering -1800 for the New England Patriots and the O/U is 44.5. In their regular season match up the Pats blanked the Texans 27-0- without Tom Brady.
I don’t know if there is really anything to take here and you might want to look at some of the standard prop bets on the game. There is no way the Texans win this game and so the ML is pretty much a sure thing- however you had better reup with RealBet’s special 50% to $500 Reload Bonus to make it worth your while! Is there any room on the spread? No doubt the 16.5 spread is getting pushed by the money coming in on Bradichick and co., so maybe it is worth considering given the Texans’ #1 rated Defense? If the Texans play for pride then this pointspread could be vulnerable if they can shut down Brady’s throwing game- and the Under 44.5 could be a possibility? In the end if you don’t wager here then you will be fine- but both bets could be worth a small flutter.
NFL Playoff Best Lines – Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Ok, here is an actual football game we can handicap for some Divsisional Round betting. The Pittsburgh Steelers roll into K-town to take on the Kansas City Chiefs as +1.5 underdogs in this AFC contest. Given that home field is usually worth 3 points then the bookies are saying the Steelers are the better team- but not by much. With KC -125 on the moneyline this game is essentially a pick’em that they are charging juice on. The over under sits at 44 which I suspect is most likely low.
So I think you have to take the team that moves you and I like KC. Not sure why but I think they have great coaching in Andy Reid and are a strong team along with something to prove. Make no mistake, Big Ben and the Steelers have lots of big game experience but I think the Chiefs win in a squeaker. If you like that idea then take the moneyline as you may need that point. I also think that you can take the over 44 here.
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