I like to think I make NCAA smart bets most of the time but history probably has a more balanced view. As I have stated earlier, I have done much better betting NFL then betting on college football. That being said however, I think there are several key factors that allow you to make NCAA smart bets and turn a profit.
Let’s take a look at an upcoming game from this weekend to see if we can articulate some sound college football wagering principles. As luck would have it we have a doozy of a game on Saturday, September 2nd as the #1 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide host the #3 Florida State Seminoles. In a system where even one loss in a season can derail your bowl game ambitions, this is about as do-or-die as it will get for both teams.
NCAA Smart Bets – Florida State vs. Alabama
It is hard to think of a better example of a dynastic college football team than the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Tide have an NCAA record 58 Bowl appearances, 26 SEC Conference Championships, and 15 National Titles. It would have been 16 had not DeShaun Watson and the Clemson Tigers pulled out some last minute heroics to beat the Tide in last year’s rematch.
The Florida State Seminoles are no slouches either when it comes to being a good candidate for NCAA smart bets. With 46 Bowl appearances and 3 National Titles the Seminoles are a winning program. Although the last few years has been about rebuilding, Florida St. is clearly ascendant again and is universally ranked #3 nationally across numerous polls. The wonderfully named Jimbo Fisher brings years of experience in coaching football to the team which will sorely be needed when he faces college’s version of Bill Belichick- Alabama’s Nick Saban.
College Football Betting Online – Best Picks
Ok, so history aside who is going to win the battle between these two titans programs? The current line has Florida as +7 point spread dogs and Alabama are -300 on the moneyline. Technically this is a home game for the Tide, but it is being played in Atlanta at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium which is also the home of the Atlanta Falcons. That is how big this game is – it is really a Bowl game on Week 1 of NCAA Football!
Football Odds – Online NCAA Betting
Given that accepted wisdom gives the home team 3 points on the spread, what does it say that Alabama is a -7 favorite in a neutral location? I think it says that bookmakers are not buying that the Florida State Seminoles are upset candidates against the Tide. Nick Saban and team may have lost a squeaker in last year’s College Football National Championship, but they still seem to be the champions in waiting.
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