I was taking a look at French Open odds over the last couple of days and I think there are some soft lines when it comes to betting tennis online. French Open odds are historically a little different to handicap due to the clay courts which all matches are played on. Compared to the synthetic surfaces, or even the grass at Wimbledon, it is not every player’s favorite surface.
So one of the key things you must do when handicapping French Open odds is to look at who historically has done well on the clay. Some players really struggle to adjust to the surface which can also change with the weather and humidity in particular. Let’s take a look at the Men’s French Open odds in this post and check in on the Women’s French Open odds later in the week.
French Open Odds – Rafael Nadal
No one has owned the French Open and clay surfaces in the modern era like Rafael Nadal. The Spaniard has won the French Open no less than 9 times with his last win coming in 2014. He has also won another elite clay tournament, the Monte Carlo Masters, a record setting ten times.
So Nadal is your obvious pick to progress through the Round of 16 at the French Open? Yes. Is he guaranteed to win the 2017 French Open. No. The biggest challenge of Rafa’s career has been with a slew of chronic injuries – most notably to his left wrist. Nadal is a lefty which means when his wrist is acting up he is severely compromised. Nadal has greatly reduced his playing calendar in an effort to allow his wrist (and back also) as much rest as possible which seems to have paid off.
If he remains healthy than Nadal is definitely a favorite to win the French Open. If he struggles with the wrist or his back then he should drop in odds correspondingly. He plays tomorrow evening against Roberto Bautista Agut (+1600) and is a -4000 favorite to advance which should tell you everything you need to know.
French Open Betting Picks – Novak Djokovic
The French Open has not been Novak Djokovic‘s favorite tournament, and in fact was the only event missing from his Grand Slam resume. That is until last year when the Serbian won the 2016 event at Roland Garros to finally complete his lifetime Grand Slam.
However, Djokovik has looked human as of late and has struggled to find his old Terminator form. Although he did win two Grand Slams in 2016, he seems a little more shakey and vulnerable to upset. His course through the 2017 French Open has proved equally rocky, and new coach Andre Agassi will no doubt be working to address that. It is hard to discount last year’s champion when it comes to gauging French Open odds but I’m not comfortable with betting on the Serbian to win it all this year. He is currently a -1500 favorite to beat Albert Ramos (+800) tomorrow which seems like a solid bet however.
Tennis Wagering Lines – 2017 French Open Odds
As to the rest of the field at the 2017 French Open Odds, there remains to very strong talent for our favorites to contend with. World No. 1 Andy Murray has traditionally struggled on the clay but is playing with authority this year. Milos Raonic remains talented and hungry, but has failed to win any major tournaments to date and I just don’t think he ultimately has the skill set to be champion- at least not this year.
Ultimately a path to the French Open Final might be about who doesn’t face Rafa in the quarters and semis etc. Always keep an eye on Maran Cilic who has all sorts of talent but also has trouble winning the big tournaments. Stan Wawrinka could be a legit threat and seems poised to take down a Grand Slam.
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